James Connel vs Leonardo Borrelli Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• James Connel wins 55.42% of points on his second serve in recent months, outperforming Leonardo Borrelli who wins 38.07%. Could this be a decisive factor for Connel?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Connel again leads with 47.00% success, compared to 42.86% for Borrelli, giving him an edge in return games.
• Borrelli surpasses Connel in saving breakpoints, with a rate of 53.85% versus Connel's 36.00%, suggesting he handles pressure better and might be harder to break.
• The last year has seen Connel achieve an 85.71% match win rate (W/L 6/1), significantly higher than Borrelli's 57.89% (W/L 22/16), pointing to a stronger overall performance.
• Connel shines on hard surfaces with an 81% career win rate (W/L 17/4), while Borrelli matches this on hard surfaces but struggles on indoor hard courts, with a 0% win rate.
• Both players mostly compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, with Connel winning a larger percentage of his matches compared to Borrelli in the last year.
• Borrelli faces opponents with an average ranking of 159.13, tougher than Connel’s opponents averaging a rank of 183, which might account for his lower win percentage.
• In deciding sets over the past year, Connel has been perfect, winning 100% of these matches, suggesting strong resilience in tight situations compared to Borrelli’s 50% win rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 21, 2025, UTC):

When evaluating the statistical data, James Connel clearly stands out in several pivotal areas over his competitor, Leonardo Borrelli.

Connel’s superior performance in both second serve success and return games indicates a tactical advantage which could prove decisive, especially when facing someone with Borrelli's lower breakpoint save percentage.

Moreover, Connel’s high winning rate on hard courts and impeccable record in deciding sets further solidify his prospects in this matchup, despite Borrelli's occasional proficiency under pressure.

Considering these insights, the prediction leans towards James Connel as the more likely victor in the upcoming match, given his consistency and versatility in critical moments.